tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22055982.post1284574692011895377..comments2024-03-29T04:56:21.649-07:00Comments on eLearning Technology: Future of the Business of LearningTony Karrerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15408035995182843336noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22055982.post-38090762927295962522009-07-12T23:40:20.455-07:002009-07-12T23:40:20.455-07:00John makes a great point.
I agree automobile ind...John makes a great point. <br /><br />I agree automobile industry is a better analogy for the changing training industry.<br />With new technology informal learning is set to become really big. In future the focus would actually shift to how to 'create' opportunities for informal learning and may be even 'manage' it to increase its effectiveness.<br /><br />Only thing I am not sure of is if the pace of change is equally frantic everywhere - in all geographies or all industries. I doubt it is. While learning 2.0 gradually takes over, we would continue to see traditional training in decreasingly smaller pockets for a long time - as we would see combustion engines.Amit Garghttp://www.upsidelearning.com/blognoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22055982.post-2281594837303479172009-07-08T11:42:24.951-07:002009-07-08T11:42:24.951-07:00I have to agree with Sandy the industry is changin...I have to agree with Sandy the industry is changing, but am not sure if it is technology that's changing it or it is the velocity of learning moments confronting our workers. We could certainly argue the chicken/egg thing on this one. With tough times upon us, no one wants to back off of a productive task to take time-out for training. The velocity of business is demanding more with less...and who can take time off-task for formal training? I'm seeing that mindset more and more - I.E...if it ain't compliance-related...or the new Medical Records system going live - it's optional! <br /><br />We cannot stop training our workers, but we can shift where it happens and when it happens. And that's not the classroom or on-line learning. And that’s not the traditional training paradigm either. Maybe what's happening in this industry is a re-invention that embraces the shift from traditional formal learning to informal. <br /><br />Hmmm, wonder if my LMS will morph into a LMSLCMSEPSS? ...with single sign-on...of course.Gary Wisenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22055982.post-89162647384314914312009-07-08T10:01:14.429-07:002009-07-08T10:01:14.429-07:00Great discussion, Tony, and especially important t...Great discussion, Tony, and especially important to instructional designers like myself who feel the pressure to change hats day-to-day or become irrelevant. The dilemma I see time and again is that organizations say they understand that the real value of training is to solve business problems, but few actually practice it in my experience. When training depts focus on linking training to business goals, they'll have a better chance of becoming a profit center and not an expense to be cut.Sandyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01929948217541879314noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22055982.post-73918979380389745512009-07-08T08:53:48.112-07:002009-07-08T08:53:48.112-07:00Hi Tony,
Perhaps the analogy you are looking for ...Hi Tony,<br /><br />Perhaps the analogy you are looking for isn't the railroads, but the automobile industry.<br /><br />In the past, we were content to build and buy vehicles of all shapes and sizes, but they were all based on the same underlying design - combustion engines. Over time the efficiency of the engines improved, quality of the vehicles improved, and all sorts of new gadgets were added (GPS, MP3 players, etc.), but still a combustion engine (aka the classroom, thinking success = volume of training?).<br /><br />Then along came hybrid and electric vehicles. Market conditions (oil prices, consumer demand, etc.) changed. Those companies that recognized it early are now in a position to capitalize. Those that didn't are hoping they can avoid extinction.<br /><br />This wasn't without it's challenges. Not every new hybrid manufacturer will make it (same with some eLearning vendors, tools, web 2.0 products). But those who get it will succeed, and will ultimately lead their markets.<br /><br />Mark Oehlert, in recent seminar, had a slide that spoke to incremental vs. revolutionary improvements (borrowed from Kathy Sierra, he said). The point was that incremental improvements can only get you so far. At some point you hit a big frickin' wall, and you need something revolutionary to get over it.<br /><br />It appears that the 'traditional' take on Training & Development is about to hit that wall. If we don't transform into something new, something that our consumers are asking for, we are unlikely to be in business much longer. As you've stated, this doesn't mean what we do today instantly goes away, but we must start thinking differently.Johnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16688511017207077860noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22055982.post-62455473197614725312009-07-08T08:47:17.840-07:002009-07-08T08:47:17.840-07:00Sandy - what a fantastic way to say it - "cha...Sandy - what a fantastic way to say it - "changing industry" ... "almost every day there's something new to muddy the waters" <br /><br />I don't think it's only latest and greatest technology. It's a lot more than that. Pace of change. Job fragmentation. Short tenure. Short times to adapt. Means fast learning and acting like an expert without being an expert is required.Tony Karrerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15408035995182843336noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22055982.post-75243813999413001242009-07-08T07:59:31.825-07:002009-07-08T07:59:31.825-07:00Hi Tony,
I'm not so convinced that it's a...Hi Tony,<br /><br />I'm not so convinced that it's a maturing or declining industry as much as it is a changing industry trying to define itself within the onslaught of ever-changing, latest and greatest technologies. Almost every day there's something new to muddy the waters.<br /><br />I think you said it well back in November 2006 (The Big Question for November - Future of ISD/ADDIE/HPT?)<br /><br />"Much of what we'll be doing in the future is not creating content ahead of learning, but working alongside, real-time of our learning community helping them with content, helping them to become better learners, and looking at the content that is being created and improving it, providing structure or guides."<br /><br />To me, everything old is new again. It's always been said that most learning (70%) takes place informally in the workplace. What the future holds is a way to finally empower and give structure to informal learning (wikis, blogs, podcasts, etc) in ways we couldn't before now. Just like the cell phone has perhaps replaced the phone booth, technology makes learning more flexible, more networked, but can't possibly disrupt it into extinction.Sandyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01929948217541879314noreply@blogger.com